Dec
24
2006 Predictions
December 24, 2005 |
It seems every pundit is releasing predictions for 2006. Some, such as Dave Winer’s are somewhere between prophetic and wacky, but the best I have found so far are Greg Linden’s on Geeking with Greg.
I especially agree with these ones:
and:
I think this might become the major story of Web 2.0 in 2006. The mainstream public, though more tech-savvy today than a few years back, will not see any use in tagging. Yahoo’s investments will buy much needed goodwill among the tech community, but nobody else will care.
Have you asked somebody lately what ‘del.icio.us’ is? Was the answer: “You are, let’s go to my room?” If it was, good for you…
Now let me add a few predictions of my own:
- RSS will become more and more mainstream.
- Google’s stock price will see some backlash sooner or later during the year, but it won’t impact business.
- Social bookmarking, tagging etc. will NOT become mainstream.
- Podcasting will continue to grow. Many will call for a name change.
- Podshow will take off as a major player in the podcasting AND media world.
- The first song will break out of the podsafe world and become a mainstream hit.
- Independent podcasters will face a steeper climb to break through as the old order solidifies its position.
- The Web 2.0 bubble will NOT burst in 2006, but will be fueled by a few more major GYM acquisitions.
- Wikipedia will be doing just fine, though it will face more public scrutiny (which is a good thing).
- maybe more later…
technorati tags: predictions, dave winer, adam curry, wikipedia, 2006, RSS, delicious, last podcast, greg linden, geeking with greg, podshow
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